India 2010 or 1990?

India 2010 is suppose to be anchor of sinking world, considering China does not exist. So are we make to believe. USA economy is on the downhill, like what happened to the British empire a century ago. European crisis is not of banks but of countries. So on and so forth. Various TV debates, commentaries, essays and books talks of one or the other way. One economist say THIS and other say THAT. But fact of the matter is reality on ground.

India 2010 is not much difference to India 1990, except few changes on the built scape across the country, where few people have been able to take advantage of INDIA SHINING. But as a country we are still a century behind USA and Europe in terms of quality of life for common man. It will require structural shift in the behavioral of not only who govern India but also WE THE PEOPLE, who let governed.

The glaring example of India's failure is whats happening in Delhi. It is city in shame. Delhi and its glorified cousin GURGAOAN are examples of how things can go wrong. t GURGAON is nothing more than a glorified GAON. On one hand where as government has failed to deliver the infrastructure in Delhi for the common wealth gales, Gurgaon stakeholders who made all those buildings failed to create a urban community which is URBAN. It is pity that people have no option but to opt for what has been imposed on them. There are various such examples across the country.

India needs to THINK and THINK HARD , otherwise 2020 might look like 1980!!!

Pepsi today announced that it has pledged to pull out sugar related drinks from schools. Coke also have a similar stand where it does not serve aerated drinks in schools. This is for better health of our children. So says, Pepsi and Coke. So nice of them!!

But in terms of revenue they get between1-2% from schools shares. But that does not mean children will not want these sugar or aerated drinks? They will not get these in schools, so their urge to have them will increase. Meaning the consumption of these drinks might go up at homes by " school children" . Fair possibility.So the revenue loss of 1-2% might result in revenue gain of 1-2%.

This is innovation on human behavior. Did we say " Dil Mange More"

Every one want everything

Google want to be a twitter, Google want to be iphone, Google want to be Microsoft. except may be Google. Closer home LIC want to be bank. IRDA and SEBI has issues over insurance companies clubbing mutual fund etc etc. L&T which one knows as a construction company is into IT, Finance and more. Banks want to do every thing except simple banking of credit/debit. Brokers are becoming investment banks, which any way investment banks are. Except over the years they start behaving if they owned the money.

So crux is start doing other things once you achieve critical mass over the original business plan.Apple and Blackberries were simple fruits few years ago. Today they are complex technologies shaping human behavior. Not different from Roman or British empire????

Ministry of Home Work?

The minister of surface transport Mr. Kamal Nath mentioned of constructing 20KMS of road per day. He means business and the ministry he goes sees lots of action. One question that comes to mind is, why 20KMS? I have been wondering it for some time and no one ever ask him this question. How was this arrived? Why not 25 or 15? In a recent interview he said that we will not achieve the target but are currently doing 9 KMS per day. So why not set a realistic and achievable target in the first place and gradually increase it? But there can be reasons for this.

We Indians like to over promise and under deliver. Ask the foreign investors? And why is so? Because one, we do not like to do our home work and two we do not like to say “I do not Know”. We become experts in no time, with out doing ground work or homework. The result? Our project execution is bad, because we spend very less time on the drawing board. This is true for in majority of cases. Have we not heard about affordable housing? Coming back to the roads example. Should we not have all the proposed roads mapped digitally? On the click of a button, we should know all the statistics from land acquisition, soil condition, topography, major urban and rural center along the way. The bidder can so very well then design the roads along with utilities and facilities. I know this is not easy as it will bring the question of digitization of land records to start off. But that’s happening and India has the IT strength.

So may be surface transport ministry start with 5KMS and gradually move towards 20 KMS in a well articulated execution plan completely mapped and digitized. They should set up a command center for the surface transport ministry. Now roads can also carry utilities gas, telephone, water, broadband etc. May be command centers for respective ministries to plan their things and coordinate among each other. Link these command centers to a central command center. Recently I think Cisco; Chief Technology Officer said that we need to understand the impact technology can have on urban planning. He is right. Infect the impact technology can have on nation planning, especially for India is huge. Roads will also require facilities and opportunity for hotel, petrol station, bus stands, container depots, railway station, cargo airport and list can go on. USA as a country on infrastructure planning is a good example.

This is a big assignment now. Some one need to do the homework. Do we not need a ministry of coordination and a ministry of homework? Who then set up a National Mission for Infrastructure Planning to map each square inch of India . Time to identify another Nandan Nilekani?

Airplane and Mobile

India is close to 500 million mobile users. India is also flying, more and more every day. Most of us, who fly, have minimum of one mobile phone. In flights we are suppose to keep our phones switched off. It interferes with the navigation system. Most of the people do switch off. All of us fear death. Some brave ones don't, as they want to see if at 35,000 feet also they can catch the signal) Just a test!
But guess what, the moment the flight touches down, You start hearing-- ring- ring, ting tong, hello-hello-hello, " Yes it is taxiing" " We have landed". etc etc. Airhostess make the announcements, take a walk, request, order to switch it off,’ till the time the flight has come to complete stop and captain has switched off the seat belt sign”. All the educated and well to do people, try to hide their phones from the moving airhostess. She becomes like the school teacher for some time

What this tells us? Mobile technology has moved leaps and bound, at a pace which made it affordable to common men- domestic help also. Airplane technology has not kept pace as they need to find solution, where the planes navigation system can work independently of mobile technology interference.

What has not changed or should we say changed is human behavior. Who will bell the "Human" is the next big social and economic opportunity. Technology has to play a role in this for sure.

Exchange- Behavior for Technology

Copenhagen Climate Summit like most of the global issues, is turning out be complex. Not many are sure what the outcome will be. Kyoto Protocol- what is the status and why the objectives were not achieved, not many are talking. We have a tendency to look into the future and forget history quickly. The complexities, like in all issues, are also because of History and Future. Developing countries want history of the developed countries to be kept in mind and developed country want developing countries to take up the responsibility of the future. History vs Future. Developed vs Developing. Progress vs Climate. And the debate continues. Human nature makes the entire things complex. If things are not complex and made to be simpler –human being will loose the importance Infect, few people who will loose the importance. But then few people controls majority of the things.

But can we make climate issue Simple. How? Exchange!!

Developing courtiers need to progress and for that progress they need clean technologies, which developed countries has but do not want to pass, what come in between? IP..

Developed countries need to stop polluting more and what come in between- Behavior.
Developing countries because of scarcity of resources or means have lived all these years on natural sustainability. Recycle, Reuse, Remake are part of the mental make up

Exchange Behavior with Clean Technologies.

Exporting Behavior is a huge business opportunity for developing countries and importing clean technology and provides business opportunity to developed countries.

Who will control this? Again, very few. But who will benefit? All.

After all Gods is also one (or few) and he/she (they) controls!!!!!

Family Business

An investment banker recently made a statement of SME business, which is family run. With out going into the statement and its merits or demerits one question comes to mind is'nt all businesses started by a family and in which family member still hold the executive position -a Family business?. And this is true across the world.
From Microsoft, to Oracale to Mittal Steel to Relainace to Biral to JM Financial etc etc and list can go on. No doubt there are "professional run”, but there still a big boss, who is the above the professionals. Apple?
So why single out the SME. Hasn’t few family members of the largest shareholders company in India did a family agreement? So even if businesses become big the family still remain small. That’s why Small is beautiful.
Crux- all businesses are Family businesses. So Sharma Brothers you can be next Lehman Brothers.